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The networks have called it for Hillary and I speculate after Florida in 2000 they're not going to bring into being that mistake again, so obviously our polls were unfair.

First off, please do not call us or e-mail us and enumerate us we suck! We are well persuaded, and it does not have feeling good.

It's comely easy, based on the departure polls, to see where we went inequitable. We had the black devoted at 18% when it turned out to be 14-15%, and we had the under 45 devoted at 41% when it turned out to be 31%.

I reweighted the results from our eventual Pennsylvania head to those figures for house and age, and the result of our head was flipped- Hillary governing 49-46. Be willing to bear she pulled 60% of the undecideds and that gives her the 52-48 guide that the extrapolation from the aboriginal exit polls does.

So it's beautiful easy to see where we went unfair. I'm glad that it was misweighting rather than some kind of systematic exit with our polls. Obviously we'll take some caloric in the next few weeks for being so far off, and we certainly merit it, but at the same time I don't meditate this should completely abatement our credibility as a assemblage- we've been pretty darn useful a lot of other times this period.

Update: I situated this after Fox called the family while the exit polls still extrapolated to four points. Obviously the border got greater as the obscurity went along. Looks allied the two areas where we were especially off, as might have been expected, were with of a white color women and elder citizens. We showed the line too close with both of those groups in our latest poll, and Hillary ended up fascinating them by the kind of huge margin that would have been expected. Have life and learn...

We will right move on and try to do better in Arctic Carolina.

Source: Public Policy Polling